Brock Nelson

COL · #11

6-4 · 205 lbs

COL @ NJDTue, Oct 207:10 PM ET

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1 of the last 10 games are from 2025-26. The window moves to 2026-27 as games are played. The prices are live.

Goals performance

Over +260 ESPN BET

0.5Prop line

Hit rate: 40%
Average: 0.4
Median: 0
L10 hit rate: 40%

1NYRNov 201LAKSep 300STLOct 30WPGOct 70CGYOct 81TOROct 100DALOct 131DALOct 140PITOct 160PHIOct 19

Over Under Prop line

L5: 40%
L10: 40%
L20: 40%
Season: 31%
H2H · NJD: —

Recent game log

10 games · against 0.5

Matchup	Date	Goals	Result
PHI	Oct 19	0	Under
PIT	Oct 16	0	Under
DAL	Oct 14	1	Over
DAL	Oct 13	0	Under
TOR	Oct 10	1	Over
CGY	Oct 8	0	Under
WPG	Oct 7	0	Under
STL	Oct 3	0	Under
LAK	Sep 30	1	Over
NYR	Nov 20	1	Over

Line shopping

Goals 0.5

Book	Over	Under
BetMGM	+1800at 1.5	—
ESPN BET	+260	-400

Opened at 0.5 · Oct 20, 1:51 AM ET · last move Oct 20, 2:46 PM ET

Over price · ESPN BET · 7 snapshots

+240+260

Matchup insights

@ New Jersey Devils

Offense

Stat	COL	DEV
Goals	3.6	2.76
Shots on Goal	33.5	29.6
Power Play (%)	17.5	22
Shooting (%)	10.7	9.3
Faceoff (%)	51.1	50.5

Defense

Stat	COL	DEV
Goals Allowed	2.46	3.09
SOG Allowed	26.1	27.4
Penalty Kill (%)	83.9	79.3

Matchup

Stat	COL	DEV
Record	5-3-1	4-4-0
Points	11	8
Last 10	5-3-1	4-4-0
Streak	L1	L1

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Form snapshot

Over 0.5 goals in 4 of the last 10 games. 2 of the last 5 finished above the line.

Season average 0.3 · 29 games tracked.

Brock Nelson props · Propzy